Kasich did not have exact same appeal than the Trumpster in the Rust Belt. I think the only state he would have won is WI (along with OH and IA), while keeping it pretty close in MI (<1% margin) and PA (~1% margin). Nevertheless, with Hillary’s weak performance I think Kasich/Haley would have won by picking up NH, CO and ME-at-large in addition to the states the Trumpster won. The PV would have been about equal, with a small lead for the GOP ticket.
✓ Governor John Kasich (R-OH)/Governor Nikki Haley (R-SC): 285 EVs.; 49.2%Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Senator Tim Kaine (D-VA): 253 EVs.; 48.8%
