Early & Absentee Voting Megathread - Build the Freiwal (user search)
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  Early & Absentee Voting Megathread - Build the Freiwal (search mode)
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Author Topic: Early & Absentee Voting Megathread - Build the Freiwal  (Read 132641 times)
Hydera
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,545


« on: October 28, 2018, 12:03:31 AM »

First day of early voting here in Volusia County:

3,068   Republicans
2,774       Democrats
1,344       NPA/OTHER

Total: 7,186

Mail-in ballots:
25,192          Republicans
21,338          Democrats
11,772          NPA/OTHER

Total: 58,302


Dang, for a county trending R like Volusia, that's pretty good.


In 2000, Volusia was one of the Democratic counties that Gore wanted to have recounted. Why is Volusia trending Republican?

FL as you know is Gods waiting room. The dem base in the county was Urban Whites/Minorities in Deltona, WWC's in the in the scattered towns, and dem leaning retirees from the glory days of the New Deal Coalition. Trump flipped some of the WWC, and the retirees are...dead. So the county still has a registered dem base, but its shrinking towards the urban whites and Minorities in Deltona and and a few other communities.



Hillary got 7,000 less votes than Obama did in 2012 and Trump  got 26,000 more votes than Romney did in 2012.  Volusia reminds me of rural previously dem voting white counties that swung to trump. Its 86% white. and a lot of older voters used to vote for the dems because they might had liked that the Dems focused a lot on social security. However the cultural wars finally made a ton of voters who didnt vote before to vote for trump. Along with Hillary being pro-free trade AND that they didnt felt the economy improved for them since Obama was elected back in 2008. While the phrase economic anxiety gets mis-used a lot. Places like these along with Obama->Trump areas do fit that narrative.
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Hydera
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,545


« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2018, 05:10:07 PM »

Nevada is a very strange state,

I remember during 2016 election almost everyone on this forum and on the Tele (CNN and MSNBC) claiming Trump is doomed in Nevada and would do much worse then Romney did 4 years ago, he'll do worse in Nevada in comparison to Colorado,
on Election night Trump lost by a much narrower margin, the margin he lost was a lot similar to Kerry in 2004, while he lost Colorado with almost similar margins Romney lost the state...



Everybody thought that latinos in Nevada would turn out in large numbers and help Hillary.  Nobody expected that Hillary's total votes would go up only by 8K while trump's went up by almost 50K due to middle aged and older voters who didnt feel the state's economy improved much since the 2007-2009 recession.
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