Alabama Megathread 2: Thou Shall Not Touch Teenage Girls

[Hydera]

Not even conservative media is willing to defend Moore. Not looking good for his election chances.

This is going to be a battle of how much hardline republicans moore can turn out even if conservative media is turning on him and i bet theres a lot of these voters.

[Hydera]

Yea this is looking much more like a 2012 Akin situation, where a story takes a while to fully take hold in the minds of the voters and gets worse over time.

You also have a problem of if too much time passes then eventually voters will start forgetting it happened.

4 weeks is probably two political cycles already.

[Hydera]

https://mobile.twitter.com/kaitlancollins/status/930911289458745344

Speculation that Moore will not drop out

For some reason i really don't want Roy Moore to drop out because if he wins then he makes the GOP even a more laughing stock for years.

If he loses then a democrat wins the seat until 2020.

[Hydera]

The school yearbook better be turned over for independent handwriting analysis.  Everyone is entitled to due process, even Roy Moore.

Go back to 4chan.


Also moore than likely that whichever goons that moore sends will just deface the evidence if their allowed to even touch it.

[Hydera]

Ivey shoots down the crazy suggestion to have Strange resign and call a new special election:

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Im starting to think she wants Roy Moore taken down in the worse possible way, having a democrat possibly elected.

[Hydera]

Moore just held a press conference and the front of his podium featured a picture of the Ten Commandments. He sure knows how to pander to the idiots that will allow him to use religion to justify being a pedophile.

For a second i thought he was going to drop out in that press conference/rally/whatever that was in the first few mins.

Until he kept talking.

[Hydera]

You know what I’m not buying this new poll the reason is because.....

It has Jeff Sessions and trump at worse approval ratings then Doug Jones,there is no way Jeff Sessions is at only
51-40 approval.

It is if Republicans are discouraged and not voting, thus falling out of the "likely voter screen". That would skew the electorate. Remember this is a special election so there could be a skew effect on the demographics of those who are voting. And considering that the Republican candidate happens to be a predatory animal, that would tend to put a damper on Republican, Conservative and Evangelical turnout, as well as there participation in polling.

Not only all of that, but Democrats are fired up.

And that matters a lot because the African American vote is the biggest variable, followed by those shaky college educated whites. Especially young ones who have a habit of not turning out. In these conditions, they are more likely to turn out.

Its not impossible but repeating something like Scott Brown's win against Coakley, to beat Roy Moore is a uphill battle for the dems considering lower black turnout. Given that black turnout for many reasons is usually low and even lower in off year elections. Its gonna take a lot of cross-party anti-roy moore republicans to put Doug Jones over the line. 

[Hydera]

On the theory that the allegations against Moore are a Dem conspiracy: if the Dems were willing to go that low, why not just go all the way and make up allegations of gay relationships? Those claims would have hurt Moore more with his base.

Up it to allegations of gay relationships with black men and his base will get a heart-attack.

[Hydera]

You can't compare Scott Brown winning in 2009 with this, because he won on actual voter discontent along with the poor campaign that Coakley ran. If Jones manages to win this (which looks likely), it will be because his opponent was a sexual predator who lusted for teen girls - not because Alabama is sending a message about policy or Trump, pretty much the exact opposite of Brown's 2009 win.

You can still compare them. Unless the items are comparison are literally identical then you can always criticize the comparison by saying it's not the same thing, as you are here.

So maybe you think it's a bad comparison maybe, but you can still compare them.

Eh i was just trying to compare the two races by the turnout. If it isnt already obvious the dems have a more uphill battle regarding turning out enough presidential level voters because African american voters tend to have lower turnout.

[Hydera]

And people wonder why O'Keefe has no creditability.

You have to wonder how many republicans see the title and thinks it "proves these allegations are false" just because they didn't read the original wapo story.

[Hydera]

It appears that Roy Moore, that fine upstanding defender of Christian morality, started dating his wife before she had filed for divorce from her previous husband.

http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/court-records-suggest-roy-moore-dated-wife-while-she-was-still-married/article/2642679

I guess he must have seen an asterisk on the Seventh Commandment.

Could this actually hurt him among evangelicals?

I wonder if Doug Jones is ballsy enough for a late ad on this just to make evangelical turnout even lower. Not like it would hurt him considering JBE did ads on vitter with the same theme and he won.