Im not talking about why he was losing , I'm talking why he was losing by 7-9 points before the first debate which is a much bigger margin than he actually lost by in November.
If he lost by 7-9 points this would be the map
Bush gets anywhere to 355-356 electoral votes if he wins by 7-9 points in 2004.
Did the debate change the ball game that much where the election turned from a solid Bush victory to a narrow Bush victory . Heck even before September the election was looking like it was going to be a narrow victory for Bush, what happened in September that gave Bush such a large lead.
As somebody mentioned his sizable single digit lead was because of the Republican National Convention which was pretty successful.
Bush stumbled on the First debate pretty badly and had terrible answers on a lot of questions which allowed Kerry to rebound.
http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/10/03/election.poll/index.html?iref=mpstoryview61% of People who watched the debate said Kerry won.
https://realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2004/president/us/general_election_bush_vs_kerry-939.htmlA bigger question is why he rebounded by the end of the third debate despite debate watchers saying Kerry also won that debate(by a smaller margin than the first).
