Let's talk about Jack Conway. (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 11, 2024, 06:53:51 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Let's talk about Jack Conway. (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Let's talk about Jack Conway.  (Read 1863 times)
Hydera
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,545


« on: November 04, 2015, 10:30:22 AM »
« edited: November 04, 2015, 10:34:49 AM by Hydera »

I don't think Jack Conway was that flawed of a candidate as the board believes.

Conway just didn't survive because the political circumstances in the state that had changed rapidly amongst National elections in Kentucky, finally went down stateside.

two factors had a large factor on the election.


1. Kim Davis episode caused many evangelicals who weren't planning to turnout in this election to turnout.  

2. The Backlash over Obama due to the conflict between Coal and Preisdent Obama.   The Eastern Kentucky coal region have swung republican despite being a long democratic stronghold even in the 1972 and 1984 elections. The Democrats nationwide has given up this region and it was open for grabs for the GOP.  If they think they can lose one of the only base they have in the state they might as well disband as a party in Kentucky.
Logged
Hydera
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,545


« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2015, 03:51:23 PM »
« Edited: November 04, 2015, 03:58:28 PM by Hydera »

Candidate quality obviously isn't the biggest reason why he lost, just look at Bevin...

Won't stop the bernie sander supporter types who are so convinced that if any dem candidate just ran on a ultra progressive platform, suddenly large swaths of progressives would turnout and push them to the finish line regardless of circumstances. For godsake there were people blaming Wendy Davis losing on "well... but... Obviously she lost because she was too defensive of gun ownership and would of won by campaigning on gun control!!!"


Right, people totally said he was a terrible candidate before he lost... Wink

He was a mediocre candidate who ran in a state that is now clearly unwinnable for Democrats. Candidate quality obviously isn't the biggest reason why he lost, just look at Bevin...

People were saying Conway was a bad candidate, especially after his performance in the Senate race in 2010.

And since Republicans won the governor's race, Kentucky = unwinnable for Democrats? Dems are making that into a self-fulfilling prophecy. If they don't even put an effort in it then the results will reflect that.

There are tons of elections were the outcome is dependent on the candidate and lots of others where its dependent on the circumstances. This one is not dependent on the candidate, your canada so you probably know less about the circumstances in the state than even a person who doesnt live there.

Kentucky has been trending away from democrats since the 40s. However in particular, Obama accelerated it with not only his policies diverging a lot from the state.

Democrats could of found a better candidate and that person still would of lost. Conway was not a factor, the circumstances was.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.021 seconds with 10 queries.