was 1952 a realigning election? (user search)
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  was 1952 a realigning election? (search mode)
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Author Topic: was 1952 a realigning election?  (Read 4861 times)
Hydera
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« on: August 28, 2015, 04:08:15 PM »
« edited: August 28, 2015, 04:15:16 PM by Hydera »

Some realigning aspects is the return of the mountain west/interior vote to the GOP. Truman should of been so unpopular in 1948 that the GOP would of won them back but he managed to win now very conservative states like idaho, utah, wyoming.

Along with the growth of the republican party in the southern suburbs that would precede the GOP dominance in the South.



The West Coast, Rust belt Mid-west and North east would become the defining stronghold of the Democratic party. Although some of that work was done by dukakis.   Also intresting that the same regions were considered traditional republican strongholds in the past. Signaling the complete turnover of ideological voters to a set party. Leftwing+Social Liberals/economic moderates to the Democratic party) and Conservatives firmly to the GOP, when previously the two parties had wings of all the ideological groups only to have it bleed.


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Hydera
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« Reply #1 on: September 22, 2015, 06:35:17 AM »

Rethinking this. I think there are two kinds of realigning presidential elections: Demographic and Ideological.

1932 was actually both.

Demographic: 1952 and 1992.

Ideological: 1980 and 2008.






Geographic : doesn't challenge the ideological alignment, only the bases.

1952 - Republicans have a consistent base in the Great Plains and Mountain States

1972 - Republicans dominant in the South for most elections from now on.

1992 - Democrats have a fixed base in the great lakes, North East and West Coast

Ideological: Definite change in the general ideological fixture of politics.

1932 - Government welfare programs and intervention in the economy becomes a norm.

1980 - Reversal of 1932, with cutbacks to taxation and more free market orientated policies.

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Hydera
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,545


« Reply #2 on: September 23, 2015, 05:27:44 PM »

Rethinking this. I think there are two kinds of realigning presidential elections: Demographic and Ideological.

1932 was actually both.

Demographic: 1952 and 1992.

Ideological: 1980 and 2008.






Geographic : doesn't challenge the ideological alignment, only the bases.

1952 - Republicans have a consistent base in the Great Plains and Mountain States

1972 - Republicans dominant in the South for most elections from now on.

1992 - Democrats have a fixed base in the great lakes, North East and West Coast

Ideological: Definite change in the general ideological fixture of politics.

1932 - Government welfare programs and intervention in the economy becomes a norm.

1980 - Reversal of 1932, with cutbacks to taxation and more free market orientated policies.



Maybe it's too early to say 2008 is ideological, but I feel it probably is. Obamacare, LGBT rights and moderate Keynesian economics.

LGBT politics obviously given the supreme court ruling its going to be near impossible to challenge. Other issues will still have to be resolved like housing, job discrimination. etc

 obamacare... eh...

Moderate keynesian economics? Absolutely not.
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