Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY) (user search)
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  Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY)  (Read 203146 times)
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #25 on: August 15, 2017, 07:53:15 PM »

Pretty obvious that it will be Strange and Moore, and Moore will win the runoff.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #26 on: September 26, 2017, 07:25:55 PM »

If I am Luther Strange I do not like any of these numbers whatsoever.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #27 on: September 26, 2017, 07:41:07 PM »

Result of a big chunk of Montgomery coming in.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #28 on: September 26, 2017, 07:58:19 PM »

Moore winning Montgomery. It's over. not even close.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #29 on: September 26, 2017, 08:09:17 PM »

Humiliating defeat for Mitch McConnell.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #30 on: September 26, 2017, 08:48:59 PM »

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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #31 on: September 26, 2017, 08:53:18 PM »

Looks like the polls were right. Checkmate hacks!
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #32 on: July 16, 2018, 02:34:36 PM »

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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #33 on: July 16, 2018, 03:10:55 PM »

Everyone knows it is an internal. Certainly more credible than a lot of the stuff posted on this forum!
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #34 on: July 18, 2018, 03:45:45 PM »
« Edited: July 18, 2018, 03:57:28 PM by Ebsy »

I managed to track down the Absentee Vote returns for 6 of the 7 counties in OH-12, current as of close of business yesterday. Pretty stark numbers here:



The numbers on the right are Absentee returns from the 2016 General Election in the 4 counties where I could find them for the same period that absentee balloting has been open as of yesterday.

Edit: Fixed cropping.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #35 on: July 18, 2018, 03:50:18 PM »

Uh, I will try to fix the chart, but the right side is a direct comparison to absentee vote numbers in 2016 (to the same day in the cycle) for the four counties where I could find the data.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #36 on: July 18, 2018, 04:04:41 PM »

I managed to track down the Absentee Vote returns for 6 of the 7 counties in OH-12, current as of close of business yesterday. Pretty stark numbers here:



The numbers on the right are Absentee returns from the 2016 General Election in the 4 counties where I could find them for the same period that absentee balloting has been open as of yesterday.

Edit: Fixed cropping.

Chart is fixed!
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #37 on: July 18, 2018, 08:25:07 PM »
« Edited: July 18, 2018, 09:07:50 PM by Ebsy »

Yeah I definitely messed up the percentages there, not sure how it happened. Btw, here is the cumulatitve take including today's update:

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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #38 on: July 18, 2018, 08:31:43 PM »

And here is a histogram of the cumulative early votes so far across the 6 counties:

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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #39 on: July 20, 2018, 04:02:04 PM »

Thanks everyone! Here's today's updated numbers:

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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #40 on: July 24, 2018, 09:13:40 PM »

The updated numbers are in the other thread.
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