Democratic Wisconsin Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic Wisconsin Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic Wisconsin Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)  (Read 19106 times)
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« on: April 05, 2016, 03:27:49 PM »

How accurate are exit polls if they're released this early? Genuinely curious. Wouldn't a whole separate demographic be likely to vote in the final few hours than during the work day?
We won't actually get the topeline numbers until polls close at 9 EDT. And those are almost always revised later to better reflect the results. What we get at 5 is some of the crosstabs.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #1 on: April 05, 2016, 03:50:57 PM »

First exit polls should be published here: http://www.cbsnews.com/elections/2016/primaries/democrat/wisconsin/exit/

Probably sometimes around 5:30. I couldn't find the normal ABC page for exit polls this time around.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #2 on: April 05, 2016, 04:44:21 PM »

lol
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #3 on: April 05, 2016, 04:53:43 PM »

Good news for both Clinton and Sanders in the exit poll, but on balance, I would say more good news for Sanders.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #4 on: April 05, 2016, 06:03:49 PM »

Tonight will probably be further proof that there is no momentum in this race, and that demographics are the only accurate predictor.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #5 on: April 05, 2016, 07:51:19 PM »

Benchmark say's it look's like a good night for Sanders and Cruz. I think they're doing some independent exit polling with DDHQ, which admittedly, I wouldn't put a whole lot of trust in. 
Okay then.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #6 on: April 05, 2016, 08:09:34 PM »

Would not be surprised in the exit poll is revised.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #7 on: April 05, 2016, 08:11:57 PM »

ABC, FOX & others have also given numbers I think - Similar right?
They all use the same exit poll.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #8 on: April 05, 2016, 09:16:44 PM »

Clinton's main goal was to prevent a blowout, which she appears to have done. Considering the demographic results here, she's very well positioned going into New York.
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #9 on: April 06, 2016, 12:46:55 AM »

What's up with Racine being stuck?


Expect Stein to get 3-5% in November due to "Bernie or Bust!" type voters. (Stein got 0.5% in 2012)
No one is going to vote for Jill Stein.
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