States that you don't see going R or D in the next 2 decades?

[100% pro-life no matter what]

I don't see any landslides in the next 5 elections and don't believe in #trends continuing indefinitely, so, maybe something like this, give or take Virginia, Georgia, North Carolina, and Ohio:

[100% pro-life no matter what]

I don't see any landslides in the next 5 elections and don't believe in #trends continuing indefinitely, so, maybe something like this, give or take Virginia, Georgia, North Carolina, and Ohio:

Why do you think North Carolina is much more stable R than Georgia?

I don't know if I would say much, but I am more confident about NC long term.  If we look more broadly (not just 2016 trends), NC has been consistently R+3 for a long time.  Plus, 2016 exit polling showed that recent transplants to NC are actually quite Republican (probably largely retirees), while I doubt the same would be true of Georgia.

Because Obama won North Carolina narrowly in a semi-landslide in 2018, people have over-estimated how competitive the state is ever since then.

For the medium-term, I'm more confident about North Carolina than Georgia, but more confident about Georgia than Arizona.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

I don't see any landslides in the next 5 elections and don't believe in #trends continuing indefinitely, so, maybe something like this, give or take Virginia, Georgia, North Carolina, and Ohio:

That map looks way way to stable for a two decades time.

I disagree.  20 years is 5 elections.  This would be the results for the last 5 elections, since 2000:

[100% pro-life no matter what]

I don't see any landslides in the next 5 elections and don't believe in #trends continuing indefinitely, so, maybe something like this, give or take Virginia, Georgia, North Carolina, and Ohio:

That map looks way way to stable for a two decades time.

I disagree.  20 years is 5 elections.  This would be the results for the last 5 elections, since 2000:

Yes but that would mean things in your map would pretty much stay similar for 40 years .

I know it's not popular on Atlas, but I don't see some realignment on the horizon.