KY, MS etc. Results Thread (user search)
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  KY, MS etc. Results Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: KY, MS etc. Results Thread  (Read 47007 times)
100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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Posts: 11,782


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


« on: November 05, 2019, 08:54:29 PM »

Well, this is disappointing.  I really liked Bevin (but apparently I was the only one).  Kentucky has still never re-elected a Republican governor.
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
Moderators
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,782


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2019, 08:59:46 PM »

Guys, it's 97% in on CNN, with Jefferson at 96%, and Beshear still has a 0.7% lead. At worst this falls into recount margin. Relax.
When have I heard this before?

I don't know, when have you? Literally a greater percentage of Jefferson is still out than of the rest of the state.

Beshear is going to win, but there are Republican leaning parts of Jefferson County that they could theoretically be.  Not that Bevin has enough votes regardless.
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
Moderators
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,782


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2019, 11:07:37 PM »

Is Hood from the Hattiesburg area?  It seems like he is REALLY over-performing there, even relative to Epsy last year.
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
Moderators
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,782


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2019, 11:13:09 PM »

Whereabouts are IceSpear/TrendsAreReal/etc? Guess trends aren't real anymore, huh?

I mean, mocking the prediction that KY was safe R is of course fair game, but the trends WERE real in this race. Beshear won by about the same margin as he did in 2015 but with far more urban/suburban support and far less rural support.

https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/data.php?year=2019&fips=21&f=1&off=5&elect=0&def=tnd&datatype=county




Taking a screenshot of the trend map because other elections  can affect the trend map.

I view 2016 as a reset point of sorts for these trends (at least until Trump is out of office).  Even if the trends are to that group's liking from 2015 (a different political world), they might not be relative to 2016-PRES or 2018.
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
Moderators
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,782


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2019, 11:55:17 PM »

Turns out there were just a lot of ultra-GOP outstanding precincts in Hattiesburg's county.  Reeves won it by 1.7.
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