100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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Posts: 11,782
Political Matrix E: 7.35, S: 5.57
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« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2018, 07:39:51 PM » |
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According to the FOX Voter Analysis ("Enhanced Exit Poll"):
18-34: Senate- Bredesen +4 Governor- Dean +1
Now, the traditional exit poll shows a different story (Bredesen +39, Dean +16) and a larger gap between the two, and the truth may lie somewhere in the middle of the two characterizations.
Among 18-44 (race/gender groups only broken down this way, and FOX showed very little difference between 18-29 and 30-44 in the Senate- albeit some in the gubernatorial race-, so this may be reasonable):
Whites: Governor- Lee +24 Senator- Blackburn +3
Non-Whites: Governor- Dean +70 Senator- Bredesen +73 (Hispanics were only Bredesen +13, but there aren't very many in TN, so this mostly reflects the black vote)
Men: Governor- Lee +10 Senator- Blackburn +3
Women: Governor- Tie Senator- Bredesen +10
So my prediction of Lee far outperforming Blackburn with young voters is kind of true, but not to the degree I expected in this FOX poll (and Blackburn held up somewhat better than I worried, especially due to young populations in trendier areas of Nashville that have little in common with most of Tennessee).
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