Someone should do a 2020 Google Consumer Survey poll (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 02, 2024, 05:01:54 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Someone should do a 2020 Google Consumer Survey poll (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Someone should do a 2020 Google Consumer Survey poll  (Read 5441 times)
100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
Moderators
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,782


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


« on: January 29, 2017, 01:37:49 AM »

Before you dismiss these, I'm pretty sure my GCS poll wound up being the most accurate Tennessee poll this cycle.
Logged
100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
Moderators
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,782


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


« Reply #1 on: January 29, 2017, 02:36:21 AM »

Sorry, it kept being weird when I tried to add more candidates so I could only do the number that I did. Coupons are available if people want to make their own for free. This didn't cost me anything.

Where did you find the coupons?

The coupon offer was off during the late stages of the primaries, but is now back:  
https://surveys.google.com/offer/view_survey_offer

It is for $50 off your first survey, which, for a national survey, should buy 500 respondents.  Unfortunately, it is available for only those who haven't conducted a Google Survey before.

I think Google Surveys limits you to 7 potential candidates/options when doing a one-question poll.  If you include more than 7, they split the sample up, IIRC.  That really wouldn't work.  So, if you include a "I am not registered to vote/will not vote in the Democratic primary" option, you're down to 6 named candidates or 5 named candidates and a write-in Other.

Before you dismiss these, I'm pretty sure my GCS poll wound up being the most accurate Tennessee poll this cycle.

Perhaps, but most of our GCS polls were way off.  My Maine poll was a disaster.  Then again, so was UNH's poll.  IIRC, my late-in-the-field New Mexico poll wasn't terrible if you weighted those without demographic info at 1 - which is what we probably should do in the future.

I'm in the process of figuring out the 2016 state RV/LV weights, assuming Census asked the same voting questions they did in November 2012 and 2014.  It's probably too early to use a 2020 RV/LV screen, anyway.

That would have made mine more accurate too, since my results were Trump +33, and the actual was Trump +26, but the mystery demographic was just Trump +11, so that would have brought down the margin a bit.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.024 seconds with 11 queries.