Which is more likely in 2018 Democrats retake the Senate or a GOP supermajorty. (user search)
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  Which is more likely in 2018 Democrats retake the Senate or a GOP supermajorty. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Which is more likely in 2018 Democrats retake the Senate or a GOP supermajorty.  (Read 501 times)
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« on: December 21, 2016, 02:44:48 PM »

A GOP supermajority is a 50-50 chance, and a Democratic majority is next to impossible, so obviously the 60 seats.  Remember that there are 12 Democrats up for re-election in red and swing states, while only one Republican is up for re-election in a swing state (and none in blue states), using 2016-only PVI.
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