1948-2016 Deviations of the States

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Really good chart (just remember when looking at this that these numbers effectively double the Cook PVI).  In Cook's world, R+5 means 55-45 in a neutral election, but that is expressed as R+10 here.  Still a really good chart!

[100% pro-life no matter what]

In terms of the last time each state voted more R/D than the nation as a whole than it did in 2016 and what it would look like in a 50-50 vote in 2020 if it does half of its 2016 swing:

Maine: Most Republican since 1988 (the last time it voted to the right of the nation as a whole); 55-45 R
New Hampshire: Most Republican since 1992; 52-48 R
Vermont: Most Republican since 2004; 60-40 D
Massachusetts: Most Democratic since 1972; 64-36 D
Rhode Island: Most Republican since 1992; 53-47 D (WOW!!)
Connecticut: Most Republican since 1996; 56-44 D
New York: Most Republican since 1992; 59-41 D
New Jersey: Most Republican since 2008; 56-44 D
Delaware: Most Republican since 1996; 53-47 D (WOW!!)
Maryland: Most Democratic since at least 1944; 63-37 D
Pennsylvania: Most Republican since 1948; 53-47 R
Ohio: Most Republican since at least 1944; 57-43 R
Indiana: Most Republican since at least 1944; 62-38 R
Michigan: Most Republican since 1976; 53-47 R
Wisconsin: Most Republican since 1968; 53-47 R
Illinois: Most Democratic since 2008; 58-42 D
Iowa: Most Republican since 1968; 60-40 R (WOW!!)
Minnesota: Most Republican since at least 1944; 52-48 R
North Dakota: Most Republican since at least 1944; 73-27 R
South Dakota: Most Republican since at least 1944; 69-31 R
Nebraska: Most Republican since 2004; 64-36 R
Kansas: Most Democratic since 2008 61-39 R
Utah: Most Democratic since 1972; 52-48 R (WOW!!)
Wyoming: Most Republican since at least 1944; 75-25 R
Montana: Most Republican since 2000; 63-37 R
Idaho: Most Democratic since 2008; 67-33 R
Alaska: Most Democratic since 1992; 58-42 R
Washington: Most Democratic since at least 1944; 58-42 D
Oregon: Most Democratic since 1988; 55-45 D
Hawaii: Most Republican since 2004; 63-37 D
California: Most Democratic since at least 1944; 66-34 D
Nevada: Most Republican since 2004; 51-49 R
Arizona: Most Democratic since 1948; 51-49 R (WOW!!)
Colorado: Most Democratic since at least 1944; 52-48 D
New Mexico: Most Republican since 2004; 53-47 D
Texas: Most Democratic since 1988; 54-46 R (WOW!!)
Oklahoma: Most Republican since 2008; 69-31 R
Missouri: Most Republican since at least 1944; 63-37 R
Arkansas: Most Republican since at least 1944; 65-35 R
Louisiana: Most Republican since 2008; 61-39 R
Mississippi: Most Republican since 1972; 61-39 R
Alabama: Most Republican since 1964; 66-34 R
Florida: Most Republican since 2008; 52-48 R
Georgia: Most Democratic since 1992; 53-47 R
South Carolina: Most Republican since 1972; 59-41 R
North Carolina: Most Democratic since 1980; 53-47 R
Tennessee: Most Republican since at least 1944; 65-35 R
Kentucky: Most Republican since at least 1944; 68-42 R
West Virginia: Most Republican since at least 1944; 76-24 R
Virginia: Most Democratic since at least 1944; 52-48 D
Washington DC: Most Democratic since 1984; 94-6 D

The states that set their extremes since 1944:

The map in 2020 with that "half repeat trend" and a 50-50 PV:

No wonder liberals hate the Electoral College so much!!