When will somebody put up a new state PVI chart?

[100% pro-life no matter what]

I already did.  The numbers may go slightly more Republican if Hillary's margin in the PV goes up more.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=251899

Using the Cook formula, which considers a Republican winning 51-49 in a 50-50 election R+1, not R+2, and which goes back two cycles.

I'm using a national PV of Clinton +0.5, but it's unclear of its exact margin, of course!  And, I'm baking the national margins into these!

Alabama: Romney +24.1, Trump +28.8; AVG: 26.45 --> R+13
Alaska: Romney +17.9, Trump +15.7; AVG: 16.8--> R+8
Arizona: Romney +13.0, Trump +4.8; AVG: 8.9--> R+4
Arkansas: Romney +27.6, Trump +27.1; AVG: 27.35--> R+14
California: Obama +16.2, Clinton +27.7; AVG: 21.95--> D+11
Colorado: Obama +1.5, Clinton +1.6; AVG: 1.65--> D+1
Connecticut: Obama +13.4, Clinton +11.7; AVG: 12.55--> D+6
Delaware: Obama +14.7, Clinton +11.0; AVG: 12.85--> D+6
Florida: Romney +3.0, Trump +1.8; AVG: 2.4--> R+1
Georgia: Romney +11.7, Trump +6.2; AVG: 8.95--> R+4
Hawaii: Obama +38.8, Clinton +31.7; AVG: 35.25--> D+18
Idaho: Romney +35.8, Trump +32.1; AVG: 33.45--> R+17
Illinois: Obama +13.0, Clinton +15.5, AVG: 14.25--> D+7
Indiana: Romney +14.1, Trump +19.8, AVG: 16.95--> R+8
Iowa: Obama +1.8, Trump +10.1: AVG: 4.15--> R+2
Kansas: Romney +23.6, Trump +21.5; AVG: 22.55--> R+11
Kentucky: Romney +26.6, Trump +30.3; AVG: 28.45--> R+14
Louisiana: Romney +21.1, Trump +20.2; AVG: 20.65--> R+10
Maine: Obama +11.4, Clinton +2.2; AVG: 6.8--> D+3
Maryland: Obama +22.2, Clinton +24.7; AVG: 23.45--> D+12
Massachusetts: Obama +19.2, Clinton +26.8; AVG: 23.0--> D+11-12
Michigan: Obama +5.6, Trump +0.8; AVG: 2.4--> D+1
Minnesota: Obama +3.8, Clinton +0.9; AVG: 2.35--> D+1
Mississippi: Romney +15.4, Trump +19.0; AVG: 17.2--> R+9
Missouri: Romney +13.3, Trump +19.6; AVG: 16.45--> R+8
Montana: Romney +17.6, Trump +21.0; AVG: 19.3--> R+10
Nebraska: Romney +25.7, Trump +26.8; AVG: 26.25--> R+13
Nevada: Obama +2.8, Clinton +1.9; AVG: 2.35--> D+1
New Hampshire: Obama +1.7, Trump +0.3; AVG: 0.7--> EVEN
New Jersey: Obama +13.9, Clinton 12.3; AVG: 13.1--> D+7
New Mexico: Obama +6.3, Clinton +7.8; AVG: 7.05--> D+4
New York: Obama +24.3, Clinton +20.8; AVG: 22.05--> D+11
North Carolina: Romney +5.9, Trump +4.3; AVG: 5.1--> R+3
North Dakota: Romney +23.5, Trump +36.8; AVG: 30.15--> R+15
Ohio: Romney +0.9, Trump +9.1; AVG: 5.0--> R+2-3
Oklahoma: Romney +37.3, Trump +36.9; AVG: 37.1--> R+19
Oregon: Obama +8.2, Clinton +10.1; AVG: 9.15--> D+5
Pennsylvania: Obama +1.5, Trump +1.7; AVG: 0.1--> EVEN
Rhode Island: Obama +23.6, Clinton +14.1; AVG: 18.85--> D+9
South Carolina: Romney +14.4, Trump +14.6; AVG: 14.5--> R+7
South Dakota: Romney +21.9, Trump +30.3; AVG: 26.1--> R+13
Tennessee: Romney +24.3, Trump +26.7; AVG: 25.0--> R+12-13
Texas: Romney +19.7, Trump +9.7; AVG: 14.7--> R+7
Utah**: Romney +51.9, Trump +19.5; AVG: 35.7--> R+18
Vermont: Obama +31.7, Clinton +28.0; AVG: 29.85--> D+15
Virginia: Tie, Clinton +4.4; AVG: 2.2--> D+1
Washington: Obama +11.0, Clinton +17.0; AVG: 14.0--> D+7
West Virginia: Romney +30.7, Trump +42.7; AVG: 36.7--> R+18
Wisconsin: Obama +3.1, Trump +1.5; AVG: 0.8--> EVEN
Wyoming: Romney +44.7, Trump +48.1; AVG: 46.4--> R+23
**Utah could be off by a little more due to high third party vote making my easier, but less exact, calculations slightly further off.

Our two largest states, California and Texas, both trended Democratic massively, allowing most of the rest of the country to trend Republican relative to the nation as a whole.  Iowa flipped all the way from D+1 to R+2 (R+5 just based on 2016).  Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and New Hampshire are now even.  PA is technically just to the right of the nation as a whole over the last two elections, while the other two are just to the left of the nation as a whole.  The swing states lined up favorably for Trump, with Iowa, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and New Hampshire (plus ME-02) all flipping from more Democratic than the nation as a whole in 2012 to more Republican than the nation as a whole in 2016.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Thanks Muon2. Just looking at MI, how can it be Dem +1%, when it is dead even, and Trump will end up losing the popular vote by about 1.5%?  That translates to me into Pub +1%. Or are both columns averages of two election cycles?

Cook PVI will be a combination of 2012 and 2016, just as the current one is 2008 and 2012.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

How is Virginia just D+1?   Hillary won it by over five points.

Because he had VA as a tie for Obama in his original calculations, when he really won by 3.8

Extremerepublican has a lot of errors for 2012 in the calculation, with major ones being that he has ROMNEY winning Ohio, Florida, as well as having much weaker margins in general for Obama that what actually happened, while the 2016 ones should be updated.

Those numbers are relative to the national PV.  Florida and Ohio did vote to the right of the nation in 2012.  It definitely still needs to be updated for changes in 2016 since a couple weeks ago.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Unless I'm missing something Texas should be R+6,  here's the numbers from this website:

TX 2016
Total two party vote: 8,551,643   
Hillary: 3,868,291   (0.452344772)
Trump: 4,683,352   (0.547655228)

National 2016:
Total two party vote: 126771042
Hillary: 64,433,399 (0.50826591)
Trump: 62,337,643 (0.49173409)

so 54.8% - 49.2% = 5.6% (rounded to R+6)

Again this is just for 2016, not 2012 and 2016.

Official PVI is a 2-cycle rolling average