Ceilings

[100% pro-life no matter what]

The GOP ceiling is not lower (and, looking at history, it's higher) than the Democratic ceiling.  Keep sticking to your false narratives, liberals!

Democratic Ceiling: 2008
Republican Ceiling (54-44 GOP):

[100% pro-life no matter what]

The GOP ceiling is not lower (and, looking at history, it's higher)

I can't exactly guesstimate the ceiling for either right now, but I can tell you that the Democratic ceiling is growing significantly as the non-white share of the electorate expands and the white voter share contracts (by about 2% every 4 years, actually). Further, Millennials and pro-Democratic groups (single men/women, secular people, minorities, etc) are rapidly expanding their share of the electorate, and by 2020, Millennials will constitute just under half of the electorate. For a group of voters that went 66% Democratic in 2008 and 60% in 2012, that should say all that needs to be said about ceilings 4-8 years from now.

With all those things in mind, I think either party breaking past 53/47 in 2016 will be difficult, but more so for Republicans.

Millennials (particularly young millennials) will be a swing demographic going forward.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

The GOP ceiling is not lower (and, looking at history, it's higher) than the Democratic ceiling.  Keep sticking to your false narratives, liberals!

Democratic Ceiling: 2008
Republican Ceiling (54-44 GOP):

have you ever put out a reasonable and/or not totally retarded post/map

You just don't like that I subscribe to the view that we are entering a major Republican era.  By the way, John Judis of "The Emerging Democratic Majority" recanted that in 2015 with "The Coming Republican Dominance".

[100% pro-life no matter what]

The GOP ceiling is not lower (and, looking at history, it's higher)

I can't exactly guesstimate the ceiling for either right now, but I can tell you that the Democratic ceiling is growing significantly as the non-white share of the electorate expands and the white voter share contracts (by about 2% every 4 years, actually). Further, Millennials and pro-Democratic groups (single men/women, secular people, minorities, etc) are rapidly expanding their share of the electorate, and by 2020, Millennials will constitute just under half of the electorate. For a group of voters that went 66% Democratic in 2008 and 60% in 2012, that should say all that needs to be said about ceilings 4-8 years from now.

With all those things in mind, I think either party breaking past 53/47 in 2016 will be difficult, but more so for Republicans.

Millennials (particularly young millennials) will be a swing demographic going forward.

Why do people always repeat this claim with no evidence whatsoever?

I have presented the evidence numerous times.  Y'all just don't like that Mitt won the 18-20 vote in 2012!