The circumtances where your state will become a tossup (user search)
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  The circumtances where your state will become a tossup (search mode)
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Author Topic: The circumtances where your state will become a tossup  (Read 12539 times)
100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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Posts: 11,781


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


« on: October 21, 2015, 05:56:05 PM »

Tennessee:
The Democrat wins 65-35 nationally or if in a Manchin vs. Kirk-type election, Manchin presents himself as more conservative (especially socially).  He probably then sweeps East Tennessee and does well in West Tennessee (Memphis, especially).  Middle Tennessee might be a little tougher for him (with rich, conservative suburbanites in Williamson and Rutherford Counties), but he would probably still split that vote and do decently in Nashville proper.

Other states that I have ties to:

Pennsylvania: See reality

North Carolina: Obama '08-type enthusiasm happens again
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
Moderator
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,781


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


« Reply #1 on: November 16, 2017, 06:55:24 PM »

I think we now know the answer for Alabama
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