Bold Predictions for the Next Few Cycles

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Given the recently bumped thread, let me share some of my bold Predictions for the next few cycles:

-The Democrats do not reclaim the House for at least another 15 years
-2016 sees no net change in the Senate, with NV going GOP and IL Dem.
-In 2018, The Republicans pick up Senate seats in Montana, North Dakota, Missouri, Indiana, West Virginia, and Florida, just enough for a filibuster-proof majority.  King caucuses with the GOP for 61.
-2016 is the year that Pennsylvania goes red in a Presidential Election- doing so while Virginia is blue.
-Scott Walker wins all of the Romney states plus Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Iowa, and Wisconsin, for a comfortable victory over Hillary Clinton.  He chooses Carly Fiorina to be VP.
-2018 is a weird election, as Republicans make significant Senate gains (getting a filibuster-proof majority) despite Democrats winning back Governorships in Wisconsin, Florida, Michigan, Massachusetts, Maryland, Illinois and Nevada.  Republicans take Kentucky in 2015, West Virginia in 2016 and Alaska (from the Independents) in 2018, making the Nation's governorships much more even.
-Despite having a supermajority, Mitch McConnell retires before the 2020 elections and is replaced as majority leader by Lamar Alexander, giving the Tea Party someone else to hate.
-In 2020, President Walker is comfortably re-elected, but the Republicans lose their supermajority, losing seats in North Carolina and Colorado, while picking up none.
-2022 is an absolute bloodbath for Republicans, losing Senate seats in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nevada, Florida, New Hampshire, and Ohio.  Collins also retires mid-term and is replaced by a Democrat.  With King continuing to caucus with the Republicans, they hold a 52-48 majority.  The Republicans also only win 225 House seats and fire Boehner as Speaker after a 12-year run.
-In 2024, Joe Manchin runs for President as an Independent and wins 25% of the vote.  Bill Haslam wins the election, narrowly defeating Mark Warner and Joe Manchin.  However, the Democrats win a Senate seat in Nevada, narrowing the GOP majority to 51-49.
-In 2026, the Democrats take their first Senate majority since 2014 and, in 2028, defeat President Haslam with someone that none of us have ever heard of yet (probably someone about 20-25 years old today).

Now, as I got far out, it became a complete guessing game, but the point is that I expect a major Republican majority to develop soon.  But, like everything, it will not be permanent.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

... I can't be the only one that sees 1980-1992 parallels here right?

There is actually a trend that constantly repeats itself:

1. Poor President
2. All-time great from opposite party as 1 (even if they may not be liked by other party)
3. "Third-term understudy" from same party as 2 that only wins one term
4. Solid, two-term President from opposite party as 3, but one that still has to deal with memories of all-time great from opposite party.
5. President from same Party as all-time great that generally winds up being an average President.

Look:
Carter (D)
Reagan (R)
Bush 41 (R)
Clinton (D)
Bush 43 (R)

Or:
Hoover (R)
FDR (D)- even though I don't like his politics, he was successful in what he wanted to do
Truman (D)
Eisenhower (R)
Kennedy/LBJ (D)

Or:
Cleveland (D)- Even if he would now probably be a Republican
McKinley/Roosevelt (R)
Taft (R)
Wilson (D)
Harding/Coolidge (R)

[100% pro-life no matter what]

2016 - Hillary wins somewhat handily, but not by Obama margins, against Rubio/Walker. Democrats pick up NH, WI, FL, IL, and OH, leading to slim control. GOP picks up KY, WV, loses NC.

2018 - Advantage GOP. Republicans pick up IN, MO, WV, MT, OH, and a few seats in the House. However, Democrats pick up IL, KS, MI, and ME governorships.

2020 - Hillary retires. Cruz/Ernst vs. Klobuchar/Heinrich, and Cruz wins by a slim margin. Democrats pick up NC and CO, but narrowly lose VA.

2022 - Democratic bounceback. Democrats pick up AZ, NC, IA, and an unforeseen red state. WI, MA, MD, and FL flop back to Democrats. They also come closer to taking the House after dismantling the gerrymanders in PA/MI.

2024 - Cruz and Ernst are narrowly re-elected over Booker/Masto after a hard fight. GOP loses NV.

2026 - Early into Cruz's second term, the college bubble bursts and we're sent hurdling into a recession. Democrats pick up GA, TX, IA, AK, and SC, the last two in a surprise, and take back the House. They also win governorships across the country. A 35-year-old Lief rejoices.

2028 - Someone we haven't heard about wins the presidency.

Interesting that you have 2016 and 2022 both being bad years for Republicans, but Toomey surviving both.