Official 2023 General Election Results Thread

[Nyvin]

This actually isn't as bad as it seems like since a lot of Black voters would actually be against abortion rights even though they normally vote Democrat.

https://twitter.com/BruneElections/status/1721928458752643555

[Nyvin]

Chaz is now saying Lily Franklin may be favored in HD-41. He rates this a Lean GOP district.

https://twitter.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1722011687987925150?s=20

If Republicans lose that district then it's a disaster night for them,  this is also a good chunk of the area that makes up SD-4.

[Nyvin]

None of the results so far are "good for Cameron" at least, whether they turn out to really be good for Beshear is still up in the air.

I find it unlikely Beshear actually gets 46% in Johnson County in the end, but it's a good start.

[Nyvin]

Beshear is leading by 3% in Washington and 38% of the vote is in,  is it even possible there's that much early vote??   He lost it by 15% in 2019.

[Nyvin]

Menifee up to 63% in - Cameron 52.7%, Beshear 47.3%

Bevin won it 52.6% to 45.3% in 2019

76% in and it's 54-46 Cameron

Very slight improvement over Bevin so far for what it's worth.

[Nyvin]

Taylor 97% in,  43% Beshear,  in 2019 he only got 36.9%.    That's pretty big.

[Nyvin]

Kinda looks like Beshear is losing ground in coal country and maybe (?) gaining elsewhere.

[Nyvin]

Beshear +22 in Breathitt County with 83%. Was Beshear +2 in 2019.

That almost seems like a glitch.

Yeah, that doesn't even seem possible unless the remaining 17% is like 100% Cameron.

[Nyvin]

The Bluegrass region looks solid for Beshear.

..and that's the part of the state that really matters numbers-wise.

[Nyvin]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1722047246512832967

[Nyvin]

Polls closed in Ohio.

[Nyvin]

If the Blue avvies on here need something to feel good about, VA HoD 20 is looking tight with 40% in (not a lot but hey, who knows)

Virginia will definitely be red mirage through all night though.

[Nyvin]

Issue 1 is heading for a blowout win easily.

[Nyvin]

Could Marijuana actually fail in Ohio at this point?

It's on track to fail.

It started at a 10% difference between the two issues. It's down to 7.5%. I think early vote is older overall and age is the primary variable on marijuana.

The urban counties started with a big giant dump at first, but have been silent since, it's mostly the rurals coming now.

[Nyvin]

I think what that person is saying is that if Dunnavant is leading with jsut election day, then it's probably solid that she'll win, given that VBM/early vote should skew even more Dem. I may be misinterepreting, and it's likely still too early, but I think that's what they're trying to say?

Dunnavant is the Republican

[Nyvin]

What's going on in the Pennsylvania supreme court race?

McCaffery looks really good so far, but I think it's all early vote...?

If the Phily turnout numbers are real, it's gonna be TOUGH for Carluccio though.

[Nyvin]

Don't look now guys, but Susanna Gibson (VA HD-57) who saw millions of pages of ink spilled over her, is up by 1% at 33% in without EV....

ROFL, if she wins it'll be the perfect icing on the cake, wow!

[Nyvin]

Woah.

https://x.com/blockedfreq/status/1722059505989558721

Isn’t this a standard margin for Philly?

Well,  Trump got 18% in Philly, *shrugs*

[Nyvin]

https://twitter.com/ET_Californian/status/1722061323075280970

Republicans are really trying hard to get better at mail-in voting.

[Nyvin]

Manchester NH mayor flipped to the GOP, wtf?

[Nyvin]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1722062934023483640

This has been obvious for a while now.

[Nyvin]

Is the state legislature up in Kentucky this cycle?

no

[Nyvin]

Is this without the mail/early vote?

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1722061674209816970

[Nyvin]

It kinda seems like that third party candidate is really spoiling the race for the D's in SD-27 (VA).  Obviously can't tell which side she's pulling votes from but it seems to be from the left.

[Nyvin]

Benton County 99% in

Reeves +15.3

Was Reeves +19.5 in 2019.

I don't think a Presley win outright is very feasible now, probably best chance now is to go for a runoff.