Election 2018 Open Thread v2 - Mia, Mimi, Gil, and T.J.

[Nyvin]

Looks like CA-48 won't end up being all that close.

This is from yesterday, but as far as I can tell Rohrabacher still hasn't conceded the race.

https://www.courthousenews.com/long-term-incumbent-refuses-to-concede-in-us-house-race/

[Nyvin]

So that exit poll of 90ish% of indies going to Golden was BS.

About 44% chose Golden,  20% chose Poliquin, the rest apparently didn't chose anyone...?

[Nyvin]

It seems weird that Democrats went from 64% of US output to 61%, if I'm reading that right. Especially since they did a lot better overall than Clinton, so you'd expect if anything the percentage to increase. Perhaps this indicates Democrats improved on Clinton in rural areas, if so that could be a bad sign for Trump as even a small shift against him could mean he doesn't win 270 electoral votes again.

If I remember reading that article right,  it's the "counties" Clinton won that represented 64% of the economy,  while this year the "House Districts" Democrats won represent 61%. 

[Nyvin]

Maricopa dropped. Sinema lead at +46,783 (+2.04), Hobbs lead at 13,171 (+0.6)

How much is left?

[Nyvin]

Is Los Angeles county going to update tonight?

[Nyvin]

lol:

I love the emoji for Crenshaw.

[Nyvin]

Republicans stole UT-4

Votes are just coming out of nowhere now!

[Nyvin]

Utah is trending Dem at a pretty fast pace according to everything we're seeing right now, especially Salt Lake County.

By 2022, if there's ANY district that's entirely in SL County, it almost certainly will be winnable by Democrats.

Salt Lake County faces the prospect of both being an urban area AND being in a western state.   Both of those factors favor Democrats from what we're seeing.

[Nyvin]

Poliquin just requested a recount, literlaly one minute before the deadline passed.

He's such a loser.   Thank god we'll be rid of him.

[Nyvin]

Isn't Kings just about done?   How many ballots are left there?

[Nyvin]

Kings County only has 1,577 ballots left, and 1,040 of those are provisionals.    Kings County won't be enough to bring Valadao back in the lead, he pretty much has to have a major breakthrough in the remaining Fresno ballots to win at this point.

https://elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov/statewide-elections/2018-general/unprocessed-ballots-report.pdf?_ga=2.239144771.1185529446.1541696745-1813463894.1541538118