AZ-08: April 24 general election (Update: Lesko-R wins by 4.72 points)

[Nyvin]

Color me skeptical, but I won't be surprised if the Republican wins by double digits here.

[Nyvin]

If Republicans start losing the Phoenix suburbs like this regularly the state of Arizona is officially a Dem leaning state....there's literally no where else in the state to make up those votes.

[Nyvin]

new rep poll, 25-19 lesko LMFAO

https://twitter.com/PoliticsReid/status/988546432868155398

56% undecided?   Did they go ask the forest people who they're voting for or something?

[Nyvin]

Lesko probably wins by mid-high single digits, or possibly low double digits. I’ll sure be looking forward to Trump/Republicans spinning this like crazy... “AMAZING come-from-behind victory for underdog and rising star Debbie Lesko! Beat the Democratic spending machine in a very competitive district! #NoBlueWave”

"Rising Star Debbie Lesko wins AZ-8 by yuge 7% margin!! Republicans SURGING ahead of midterms!!one!1!"

[Nyvin]

Republicans are literally looking at losing 100+ seats if this result is replicated nationwide in November. 

It doesn't get any better than this,  Lesko is an established state senator running against a nobody, the national party put plenty of money into this race, there's no scandals w/Lesko, and this district is probably in the top 50 most conservative in the country.   

Winning by 5-6% is horrible for them.

[Nyvin]

Pebble Creek, Wigwam, and Pyramid Peak are three of the 18 reported.   

[Nyvin]

So Lesko will fall below 5% before the night is over....wow!