NYT: Downballot Republicans running for the hills (user search)
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  NYT: Downballot Republicans running for the hills (search mode)
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Author Topic: NYT: Downballot Republicans running for the hills  (Read 2407 times)
Nyvin
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,704
United States


« on: August 07, 2016, 04:43:02 PM »

If Clinton wins the presidency by the current margin the polls are giving her right now, yes the House falls.

Not necessarily. See: 1972. Even 1964 and 1984 yielded unimpressive congressional gains for the winning party relative to the size of their margins in the national popular vote for president. I doubt that even with a popular vote margin of 10% or more for Clinton would be enough to overcome the structural Republican advantage in the House.

That was back when split ticket voting was far more common then it is today though.
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