Do Democrats have a Red Wall in the EC? (user search)
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  Do Democrats have a Red Wall in the EC? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: I mean the supposed Dem advantage in the EC
#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 33

Author Topic: Do Democrats have a Red Wall in the EC?  (Read 729 times)
Nyvin
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,720
United States


« on: March 20, 2016, 09:23:30 PM »

The idea would be as the Nation continues to shift demographically, the majority of those shifts favor the Democrats,  and states that were once Republican become competitive, states that were once competitive now lean Democrat, etc.

The primary trends that we see are probably the following:

Minority populations rising faster than White populations

Nation becoming more urban and rural population in decline, big cities among fastest growing areas

Nation becoming less religious, number of self-identified atheist or non-religious continues to rise

Fewer people getting married

Larger college educated population

All of those demographic shifts seem to favor Democrats a lot more than Republicans.   As long as the current political allignment stays steady (which it certainly seems to be!!) the trend of Republican states becoming competitive and competitive states becoming Democratic will probably continue.  

This becomes all the more true with the entire idea behind the blue wall:   The Republicans have not flipped any Dem state to become competitive in the last 4 elections, but the Democrats have flipped a number of Republican states to become competitive recently.  
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