Nyvin
Junior Chimp
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« on: March 20, 2016, 09:23:30 PM » |
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The idea would be as the Nation continues to shift demographically, the majority of those shifts favor the Democrats, and states that were once Republican become competitive, states that were once competitive now lean Democrat, etc.
The primary trends that we see are probably the following:
Minority populations rising faster than White populations
Nation becoming more urban and rural population in decline, big cities among fastest growing areas
Nation becoming less religious, number of self-identified atheist or non-religious continues to rise
Fewer people getting married
Larger college educated population
All of those demographic shifts seem to favor Democrats a lot more than Republicans. As long as the current political allignment stays steady (which it certainly seems to be!!) the trend of Republican states becoming competitive and competitive states becoming Democratic will probably continue.
This becomes all the more true with the entire idea behind the blue wall: The Republicans have not flipped any Dem state to become competitive in the last 4 elections, but the Democrats have flipped a number of Republican states to become competitive recently.
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