2021 Canadian general election - Election Day and Results

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Can anything be made of the results in the 905 yet?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Polls just closed in Quebec?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Charlesbourg-Haute-Saint-Charles
2/242 polls reported

Pierre
Paul-Hus
Conservative
Incumbent
25.0 %

3 votes

René-Paul
Coly
Liberal
25.0 %

3 votes

Marie-Christine
Lamontagne
Bloc Québécois
25.0 %

3 votes

Hilarious to see a three-way tie of three votes.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Polls close in British Columbia.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I hate how Canada networks include “leading” in there total seats.

It’s confusing as hell.

78-33 for Liberals before the West seats come in… that can’t be good, right? Or wrong?

Yeah, it is bugging me to some degree. I guess they need to do it for #content.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

First CBC call outside of the Atlantics is Megantic-L'Erable for the Tories.

It would have been bad for the CPC if they lost here. They won here almost 2-to-1 in 2019.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Assuming too much this early is imprudent.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Anyone know what's happening in Milton, where the Tory deputy unexpectedly got crushed last election? Is that a highly educated seat, why was the Liberal trend so strong there?

My understanding was that it was new subdivisions+star Liberal candidate+Doug Ford's unpopularity.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Louis Plamondon returned in Bécancour-Nicolet-Saurel, per CBC.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

They must have data we don't, if even given their caution they were willing to make this call.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Do the Liberals have much of a chance in Thornhill?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

They must have data we don't, if even given their caution they were willing to make this call.

Nah, it's clear that Conservatives aren't making anywhere near the gains they need outside of Atlantic Canada.

I mean, I can see that, but doing it this early probably means they have data allowing them to say things with more certainty regardless.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Pierre Poilievre returned in Carleton, per CBC.
A bit of good news for the Tories.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Beauce is CON hold, in what must be quite disappointing for Maxime Bernier.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Trudeau wins in Papineau, where he currently has over a majority of the vote.
Of course this kind of call was always going to happen.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Unfortunately, Liberals hold Sherbrooke. Had been excited about the BQ candidate there.

What explains Liberal gains in the GTA in places like Thornhill or Markham-Unionville (where you'd think O'Toole would be a better leader than Scheer?) coupled with fairly impressive results for Conservatives in their non-GTA target seats (currently flipping Peterborough-Kawartha and Kitchener-Conestoga, and within inches in Cambridge and London West)? As an American I expected urban/rural polarization, or educated/uneducated, but what's happening in Ontario seems to be O'Toole getting decent results outside the GTA, even in educated or urban seats, while bombing within it even worse than Scheer.

And, yeah, my understanding for a while has been that Freeland is massively favored to succeed Trudeau whenever he steps aside.

Trudeau has always been attentive to the bottom line of families in the 905, and has even favored them in many ways.
So it's not surprising they'd vote Liberal yet again.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Do the Liberals gain or lose seats? CBC is saying 156 seats right now which is very close to my prediction so I hope it stays that way or goes one seat down.

Now they have the exact seat numbers the LPC and CPC had after 2019: 157 to 121.

Lmao that would also be hilarious.

Shades of 1965, when Lester Pearson called a snap election and it got a very similar result to 1963.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Annamie Paul comes in fourth in Toronto Centre, winning barely over 60% of the votes of the Conservative candidate.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Why don't they call COB-CND riding for Small yet? Only 1 poll is still not reporting and Small holds a 2% lead.

Abundance of caution, perhaps? CBC has been among the most cautious with calls after all.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Why don't they call COB-CND riding for Small yet? Only 1 poll is still not reporting and Small holds a 2% lead.

Abundance of caution, perhaps? CBC has been among the most cautious with calls after all.

The missing poll is the postal votes.

Aaaah. That's it.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

TIL there is literally a riding called Quebec, that is within Quebec.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Are media organisations going to call the PV or do they not care?

CBC has not mentioned the PV once. It seems Canadian media just doesn't care about the PV.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

TIL there is literally a riding called Quebec, that is within Quebec.

It's named after the city of Quebec, located within the province of Quebec.

And in the riding of Quebec, located in a city called Quebec that is in the province of Quebec, the biggest employer is the Quebec provincial government.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

O'Toole speaking about now.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Close race in this riding that borders Vermont and quite possibly New York.

Brome-Missisquoi
215/279 polls reported
BQ leads LIB by 217 votes

Marilou
Alarie
Bloc Québécois
34.0 %
10,842 votes

Pascale
St-Onge
Liberal
33.0 %
10,625 votes