After Brnovich v. DNC: Will SCOTUS eventually declare Section 2 unconstitutional?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Does ERM also know that in this worst-case scenario that Democrats can also go nuts with gerrymandering? I can see them getting rid of every single Republican in NY.

Even if Democrats could gerrymander far more seats, the loss of VRA districts in GOP states would be too much for even aggressive Democratic gerrymandering to overcome.

HAHAHAHAHAHAHA!

Oh no, Dems lose AL, MS, SC... The Democrats can get rid of 8 Republican seats in NY. One or two in IL, One in OR, and the "nonpartisan" commission in CA will certainly nuke a few of their own.

Democrats would lose too many seats in FL, TX, and GA. Louisville, KY gets cracked. MO gets 8R-0D, TN gets 9R-0D. I doubt 52D-0R in CA, 26D-0R in NY, and 17D-0R in IL can overcome that.

St. Louis is too risky to crack, because the districts required to do so would end up being swingy. They'll gut the KC district, but 7-1 is much more likely. As with TN, Cohen will likely stay while Cooper is cut. FL and TX are already Gerrymandered to the extreme, so only 2 or 3 will cut in those states. The thing is, there isn't that much will in these states to do that.

No. My 8R-0D map isn't risky at all. Not one House district voted for Jason Kander in 2016 on my map.

8R-0D map 2016 presidential election results.


8R-0D map 2016 US Senate election results. Every district voted for Roy Blunt.

If Missouri Republicans want to give Dems a very good chance of passing a commission using the "efficiency gap" to help draw districts, a map like this is a very good way of doing that.