Rate It: IL-10 in 2018

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Schneider will win. If he keeps it in 2020, the Legislature will most likely rejigger it into a Likely Dem seat for the 2022-2030 cycles.

they could give it parts of Evanston to make it absolutely safe Dem.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

The district was drawn to be Likely D District, removing more conservative parts of Lake and Cook County,but Dold was a very good fit for it (The General Assembly drew him out after 2010).  In a different configuration in a neutral year a Republican like Dold would have a decent chance at it.

An all-Lake County CD perhaps?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

The district was drawn to be Likely D District, removing more conservative parts of Lake and Cook County,but Dold was a very good fit for it (The General Assembly drew him out after 2010).  In a different configuration in a neutral year a Republican like Dold would have a decent chance at it.

An all-Lake County CD perhaps?

The opposite, actually. Dold's strongest areas were in places like Prospect Heights, Palatine, Kenilworth (where he was from), and the Cook Suburban areas on the fringe of the district North of Evanston; these voters are Democratic in National elections but are waaay more likely to vote R for someone like Dold (classic RINO Toms). 

They got chopped off into Schakowsky's District with Evanston and parts of Chicago's Northside.
They were replaced with exurban communities in Lake County around Waukegan who were more diverse and labor friendly as to drag Dold's margins. 

I see where you're coming from. But wouldn't Dold be more secure in a CD that has more exurban, very ancestral R parts of Chicagoland? Like Lake County, and part of McHenry?