Welcome to the Runoff!: LA 2015 Liveblog

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Yeah, for whatever reason I feel really pessimistic here now too. JMC having Edwards under 50% didn't help.....

If Edwards loses, RIP polling industry? They've had an awful lot of misses recently.....

Hey, you know, at least that means Bernie Sanders will win the SC primaries.

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ugh the 9:30 update

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Miles you should low-key endorse Hillary on there

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Miles will you call for Landry?

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So according to the pundits, Dems losing in deep red Kentucky was an ominous sign for them in the presidential race in 2016, so I guess Dems winning in deep red Louisiana must mean they're in for a guaranteed landslide!

Eh, I think it's a little bit of both.

Obvious Clinton vs. Rubio map:

Oh but I thought that trolling was of the devil

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When will they call AG?

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Well my prediction was right all along

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Edwards leading 54-46 with 68% in. Nungesser up 58-42, and AP called AG for Landry with him leading 57-43.

...but there's 75% in (55-45 JBE)

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82% in; still 55-45

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88% in; 55-45 still

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Ouachita and Jefferson are 50/50 right now.

Hoping he can win Jefferson to make all his counties touch

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Ouachita and Jefferson are 50/50 right now.

Hoping he can win Jefferson to make all his counties touch

looks like he needs Ouachita too

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Jefferson flipped to 51-49 Edwards with only two precincts left.

Great news, but unfortunately, Ouachita is for Vitter, so all of Edwards' parishes won't connect

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I like the grid that seems to have formed with MT/CO/MN/MO/LA

And yeah Walker (AK) is basically a Republican so

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Not unreasonable for after 2018, but perhaps a bit too optimistic (especially if Hillary is elected)

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Jefferson Parish precinct map.

So what kind of neighbourhood is precinct 0-153 and 0-154? 100% African-American?

0-153 is like a mini Congress voting all for Edwards

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Is CD1 even contiguous?

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Ouachita Parish (Monroe)



This is the the most polarized large parish in the state. The Duck Dynasty people live here - obviously Vitter's ad with them didn't help very much, as he came very close to losing it.

I wasn't expecting Edwards to come this close, but the results is about on par with previous elections. Jindal carried it by almost 6% in 2003 and Duke got 50.6% in 1991.

Edwards would have had all contiguous counties with it

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AOS did an analysis of the LA runoff.

'Looks like the author stole a lot of my work from this thread, though.

What a terrible person that author must be. You should sue him, Miles.