NC SEN Emerson Budd +3

[MT Treasurer]

I think this result IS very plausible

Fascinating how they have Johnson at 48%/with a 4-point lead but Budd at 46%/with a 3-point lead. I do wonder if NC/WI won’t vote nearly as far apart as many initially thought (I wouldn’t even rule out WI voting slightly to the right of NC, although I definitely wouldn’t bet on it either). However, it could also just be that the undecideds are more R-leaning in the NC poll than in the WI one.