Yay, the SunuNUT 2010-redux meme map is back.
Every race is a #redux:
AZ-2022 = FL-2018 (oh wait Ducey isn’t running, in that case) FL-2012
NV-2022 = NV-2010, 2016, 2018
GA-2022 = NC-2014
NH-2022 = NH-2016 0, after the Sununu+7 poll
WI-2022 = AR-2010 if Johnson runs, OH-2010 if he retires
PA-2022 = IN-1998
but that’s just imo
Cue the "Sununu collapsing" predictions when UNH shows the race tied next month only for another survey to show Sununu +6 in October, etc. etc.
Either way, I think Republicans have a lot to like about their chances in all of AZ/NH/NV regardless of the order in which you think they are most likely to flip. Irrespective of what polling may indicate, I think NH and ME in particular are primed for a rightward shift in 2022.