ME-02: Bathroom Bruce is IN (user search)
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  ME-02: Bathroom Bruce is IN (search mode)
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Author Topic: ME-02: Bathroom Bruce is IN  (Read 2222 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: August 04, 2021, 10:06:08 AM »

I’ll take Poliquin any day if the alternative is someone like Dale Crafts or some wild card who looks good on paper but ends up crumbling under pressure and barely makes a compelling case for firing the (skilled) incumbent. There might be more appealing candidates in theory, but the main reason Poliquin lost in 2018 was the turnout imbalance, and that’s not going to be replicated in 2022.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #1 on: August 05, 2021, 01:50:23 PM »
« Edited: August 05, 2021, 01:55:01 PM by MT Treasurer »

I’ll take Poliquin any day if the alternative is someone like Dale Crafts or some wild card who looks good on paper but ends up crumbling under pressure and barely makes a compelling case for firing the (skilled) incumbent. There might be more appealing candidates in theory, but the main reason Poliquin lost in 2018 was the turnout imbalance, and that’s not going to be replicated in 2022.

While true, I think Golden is stronger now than in 2018, at least in terms of proving his willingness to break with the party.

Yes, I think ME takes the cake in the bipartisan, biennial 'how easily can we fool voters into believing we’re moderates' 50-state contest, and that’s not an easy feat because the competition is really stiff. My absolute personal favorite are 'centrist' Collins/King/Golden voters — it’s like being proud of your naïveté and just flaunting your ignorance.

I have no doubt that Golden's brand will be more difficult to dismantle than that of any other House Democrat, and any Republican running against him should consider themselves really lucky that there’s a Democratic trifecta right now.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #2 on: October 09, 2021, 11:46:54 AM »

Aug. 31 - Sept. 7 poll that has support for a LePage GOV run at +2 and Janet Mills's (D) approval statewide at 48/49 also finds Golden with a 48/33 (+15) approval in ME-02.

https://spectrumlocalnews.com/me/maine/news/2021/09/14/2022-maine-governor-s-race-shaping-up-to-be--heavyweight-fight-

Looks like the NRCC ads that attacked Golden over his inaction on the caterpillar infestation really payed dividends.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #3 on: October 09, 2021, 10:25:13 PM »

Aug. 31 - Sept. 7 poll that has support for a LePage GOV run at +2 and Janet Mills's (D) approval statewide at 48/49 also finds Golden with a 48/33 (+15) approval in ME-02.

https://spectrumlocalnews.com/me/maine/news/2021/09/14/2022-maine-governor-s-race-shaping-up-to-be--heavyweight-fight-

Looks like the NRCC ads that attacked Golden over his inaction on the caterpillar infestation really payed dividends.

I have long thought that if any Democrat wins in 2022 in a Trump district, it will be Golden. I’m expecting IL-17 to be redrawn as a Biden seat.

The idea that “candidate quality” will outrun partisanship to this extent is hilarious, the likeliest Dem to win would be one in a marginal Trump seat and/or one trending Dem, ME-02 is neither of those.

Except this was the one district in 2020 where "candidate quality" actually outran partisanship to this extent — of course, hilariously enough, the exact same thing happened in ME-SEN (proving his point about not-so-bright New Englanders). I completely agree with him that Golden will be the Trump district Democrat "hardest" to beat, and Republicans had better hope that the wave in districts like this is big enough to carry them to victory.
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