But some internet politics guy told me ME-02 was likely/safe R because it was Trump+10 even though it only voted for Trump because of third party candidates and the Democrats won the district in 2018!
1. Trump received a majority of the vote in this district, so no, it didn’t "only vote for Trump because of third-party candidates."
2. Democrats narrowly won a much more localized House race after RCV with one of their strongest candidates of the election cycle against an underwhelming opponent. Is NE-02 less likely to flip than ME-02 because Bacon won and Poliquin didn’t?
