MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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Posts: 15,275
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« on: July 19, 2020, 10:11:00 AM » |
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I feel like people are once again underestimating the chances of an "upset" à la MA-SEN 2010 or AL-SEN 2017 in a Democratic state under a Democratic trifecta (either as a result of a special election or due to Hogan or Scott pulling off the "impossible"). Am I predicting that it will happen? No, I just wouldn’t categorically rule out the possibility, and there’s a good chance that that "upset" seat might be a better bet for the GOP than CO (or even AZ/NV). PVI doesn’t exclusively determine competitiveness of Senate races, case in point: FL-SEN vs. MT-SEN/WV-SEN in 2018, MO-SEN vs. WI-SEN in 2016, etc.
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