UT-Hinckley: Trump with wide leads (user search)
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  UT-Hinckley: Trump with wide leads (search mode)
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Author Topic: UT-Hinckley: Trump with wide leads  (Read 965 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: January 31, 2020, 05:20:32 PM »

Bloomberg clearly the best fit here, but this state will vote for Trump with a much wider lead than 2016.

I really wouldn’t be too sure about that.
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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*****
Posts: 15,275
United States


« Reply #1 on: February 01, 2020, 11:00:31 AM »

Bloomberg clearly the best fit here, but this state will vote for Trump with a much wider lead than 2016.

I really wouldn’t be too sure about that.

Agreed.  If anything, this poll suggests the 2016 shift was permanent and a good chunk of the McMullin voters aren't looking back.  Even Sanders is polling above Clinton's 2016 numbers.


This poll already shows Trump outperforming his 2016 margin

I mean, not really.

2016: Trump +18
This poll: Trump +18 (vs. Biden), Trump +19 (vs. Sanders)

Quote
with a large number of undecideds that would undoubtedly lean heavily Republican.

Proof? Crosstabs? His approval rating is only +9 (53/44), and he’s already at 50, so I’m not sure I buy that the undecideds lean heavily Republican.
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