Bloomberg clearly the best fit here, but this state will vote for Trump with a much wider lead than 2016.
I really wouldn’t be too sure about that.
Agreed. If anything, this poll suggests the 2016 shift was permanent and a good chunk of the McMullin voters aren't looking back. Even Sanders is polling above Clinton's 2016 numbers.
This poll already shows Trump outperforming his 2016 marginI mean, not really.
2016: Trump +18
This poll: Trump +18 (vs. Biden), Trump +19 (vs. Sanders)
with a large number of undecideds that would undoubtedly lean heavily Republican.
Proof? Crosstabs? His approval rating is only +9 (53/44), and he’s already at 50, so I’m not sure I buy that the undecideds lean
heavily Republican.