2020 Poll Hype Thread

[MT Treasurer]

NYT/Siena General Election matchups in a bunch of battleground states will be released on Monday

My predictions, because why not:

Michigan: Biden +6, Sanders +7, Warren +4
Pennsylvania: Biden +7, Sanders +5, Warren +5
Wisconsin: Biden +5, Sanders +6, Warren +5
Florida: Biden +3, Sanders +3, Warren +2
Arizona: Biden +4, Sanders +2, Warren +2
North Carolina: Tie, Sanders +1, Trump +1
Iowa: Biden +1, Sanders +4, Warren +2

[MT Treasurer]

Random guess:

Trump +4
Sullivan +2

[MT Treasurer]

Is the Montana poll PPP as well?

Yep. I'm going to guess Trump +10, Bullock +5, Gianforte +1, and Rosendale +4 as my predictions.

Should be noted that their last MT poll showed both the Senate and the House race tied, so it would be quite something if the discrepancy in this poll was this wide.

Also don’t be surprised if the poll shows Gianforte doing a few points better Rosendale, it’s been a rough week for Cooney.

That said, my prediction: Trump +7, Bullock +2, Gianforte +3, Rosendale +3