I'm confident in JBE getting reelected by double digits. Louisianans aren't that DUMB getting rid of a popular Governor with a budget surplus.
Not so sure in present polarized world America. After all - Landrieu was personally popular and generally moderate Senator from famous political family, and all this didn't saved her. Governor races are more flexible now, then Senatorial one, but - by how much?
Plenty enough for Massachusetts to reelect Baker by 33 points while also reelecting Warren by 24 points.
This Chicken Little crap really is unspeakably aggravating.
Don’t forget Hogan in unbelievably inelastic, polarized Maryland, who managed to win reelection by 12 points in a Democratic tsunami while Cardin won by 35 points.
This might not be the best poll for Democrats, but it’s worth noting that their final 2015 poll underestimated JBE pretty substantially, and I seem to remember people arguing that undecideds would surely break against Democrats in that race because of Obama, Deep South, etc. Well, we all know how that turned out. JBE could lose if his approval rating starts to sink and Republicans run a competent candidate against him, but Louisiana isn’t going to vote out a popular governor who won an open seat in a very unfavorable national environment just because of "polarization" or whatever. Likely D, closer to Lean than Safe.
