FL-Morning Consult: Scott +1 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 08, 2024, 12:23:36 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Senatorial Election Polls
  FL-Morning Consult: Scott +1 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: FL-Morning Consult: Scott +1  (Read 2673 times)
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,275
United States


« on: June 11, 2018, 12:11:47 PM »

You know Scott narrowly winning at this point is not super surprising. Not sure why so many people scoff at this.

No, I agree that this is hardly a surprising result, but Morning Consult is definitely not a good pollster, and there’s something fishy about their methodology.

This is obviously a competitive race, and Nelson is arguably more vulnerable than some of the Romney state Democrats at this point (which is not really that surprising anyway), but he should still win by an underwhelming margin in a Democratic wave. The trajectory of this race has been pretty hilarious though, seeing as how polling has continually shown improved Republican prospects here even as the national environment kept deteriorating for the GOP and their national prospects have basically eroded.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,275
United States


« Reply #1 on: June 11, 2018, 06:21:36 PM »

Under few circumstances is a win by either party on the statewide level underwhelming. It is just such a competitive state that even the narrowest edging out is a big win.

When you’ve won your last two elections by 22 and 13 points, respectively, and then struggle to hold your seat in a massive Democratic wave year, that’s definitely underwhelming, regardless of the fact that Scott is obviously Nelson's strongest challenger yet.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.024 seconds with 14 queries.