Morning Consult 10/12: Clinton trails Carson, ties Bush, leads others

[JonathanSwift]

Assuming uniform swings from 2012:

Carson vs. Clinton

305-233

Bush vs. Clinton

272-266

Clinton vs. Trump

303-235

Clinton vs. Fiorina/Rubio

332-206

Clinton vs. Paul

347-191

[JonathanSwift]

The racial crosstabs are interesting.

Bush vs. Clinton
Whites: 47-35 Bush
Hispanics: 51-30 Clinton
African-Americans: 70-10 Clinton
Others: 55-28 Clinton

Carson vs. Clinton
Whites: 47-35 Carson
Hispanics: 58-30 Clinton
African-Americans: 66-20 Clinton
Others: 58-31 Clinton

Clinton vs. Fiorina
Whites: 41-35 Fiorina
Hispanics: 54-27 Clinton
African-Americans: 68-8 Clinton
Others: 60-26 Clinton

Clinton vs. Rubio
Whites: 44-37 Rubio
Hispanics: 56-30 Clinton
African-Americans: 70-13 Clinton
Others: 60-28 Clinton

Clinton vs. Paul
Whites: 42-38 Paul
Hispanics: 58-23 Clinton
African-Americans: 72-9 Clinton
Others: 63-25 Clinton

Clinton vs. Trump
Whites: 47-37 Trump
Hispanics: 59-30 Clinton
African-Americans: 72-16 Clinton
Others: 60-24 Clinton

[JonathanSwift]

Assuming uniform swings from 2012:

Now THAT'S funny.

I don't believe that anything resembling a uniform swing will actually occur. I just like making maps.

[JonathanSwift]

Assuming uniform swings from 2012:

Now THAT'S funny.

I don't believe that anything resembling a uniform swing will actually occur. I just like making maps.

Maps are fun!

They certainly are.