Sweden election 2022 (user search)
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  Sweden election 2022 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Sweden election 2022  (Read 33647 times)
DavidB.
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Posts: 13,627
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Political Matrix
E: 0.58, S: 4.26


« on: September 11, 2022, 09:31:47 AM »

Another argument for the Swedish system is that local elections on a different date than national elections would actually be "nationalized", because people want to use the election to punish or reward government parties.
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DavidB.
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Posts: 13,627
Israel


Political Matrix
E: 0.58, S: 4.26


« Reply #1 on: September 11, 2022, 10:43:18 AM »

Where do Swedish parties stand on nuclear energy?
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DavidB.
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Posts: 13,627
Israel


Political Matrix
E: 0.58, S: 4.26


« Reply #2 on: September 11, 2022, 02:37:27 PM »

SAP still gaining votes in its eighth year in power. Pretty impressive.

Somewhat amateur psephology, but at a time of instability and uncertainty there is a tendancy for people to look for the relative comfort and security of the "natural party of government". And in Sweden that happens to be SAP.
Another aspect is that the party leadership switch simply turned out to be a success. Andersson's approvals were sky high throughout the campaign. Based on these figures alone I always thought the left bloc were going to win.

Other than that, I just think this election was decided on issue ownership, with the issue of gang violence being in the forefront helping SD vis-a-vis other right bloc parties.
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DavidB.
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Posts: 13,627
Israel


Political Matrix
E: 0.58, S: 4.26


« Reply #3 on: September 11, 2022, 03:35:49 PM »

Looks as if M won't lose that much after all. At 18.5% now.
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DavidB.
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*****
Posts: 13,627
Israel


Political Matrix
E: 0.58, S: 4.26


« Reply #4 on: September 11, 2022, 03:36:38 PM »

There's a decent sized Other vote in Stockholm's immigrant neighborhoods, does anyone know what these parties are?

This site is better for results since it shows percentage changes down to the most granular level.
https://www.dn.se/sverige/resultat-valet-2022-alla-senaste-siffrorna/
It's Nyans, the new DENK-like Muslim party.
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DavidB.
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*****
Posts: 13,627
Israel


Political Matrix
E: 0.58, S: 4.26


« Reply #5 on: September 11, 2022, 03:49:04 PM »

I wonder how much of V's underperformance is strategic votes for Mp, because Mp is performing super well compared to their polling about a month ago
Maybe also left-wing voters who think S moved too far right on integration but don't want to vote V because of their Russia stance?
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DavidB.
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*****
Posts: 13,627
Israel


Political Matrix
E: 0.58, S: 4.26


« Reply #6 on: September 11, 2022, 04:08:03 PM »

Is it me or are Sweden election night parties 70% women across the board?  
Right-wing parties have all of the women at the event stand around the guy/woman who is interviewed to create that impression, according to the principle "Men like women and women like women".
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DavidB.
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Posts: 13,627
Israel


Political Matrix
E: 0.58, S: 4.26


« Reply #7 on: September 11, 2022, 04:30:07 PM »

Men voted 56% for the right bloc and 43% for the left bloc.
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DavidB.
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*****
Posts: 13,627
Israel


Political Matrix
E: 0.58, S: 4.26


« Reply #8 on: September 11, 2022, 04:40:00 PM »

Partiet Nyans nearly won several polls in Rinkeby and Malmö, they're surely on the path to create Swedish Caliphate 2030 Inshallah
They're even further on the path to create a right-wing government in 2022, inshallah.
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DavidB.
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*****
Posts: 13,627
Israel


Political Matrix
E: 0.58, S: 4.26


« Reply #9 on: September 11, 2022, 05:09:23 PM »

So the right is really going to win? Despite the polls I never expected that, considering Magda's approvals. S's campaign must have been truly abysmal.
S is actually overperforming. It's MP, C and mostly V who are underperforming.
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DavidB.
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*****
Posts: 13,627
Israel


Political Matrix
E: 0.58, S: 4.26


« Reply #10 on: September 11, 2022, 05:21:53 PM »

Projected right-wing majority is now 2.
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DavidB.
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*****
Posts: 13,627
Israel


Political Matrix
E: 0.58, S: 4.26


« Reply #11 on: September 11, 2022, 05:31:32 PM »

I think bloc politics in Sweden has run its course. The differences within the blocs seem bigger than those between them. If the right end up winning a majority, I wouldn't be surprised if L were to pull the plug quite quickly and S and M come to an agreement for the remainder of the term.
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DavidB.
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*****
Posts: 13,627
Israel


Political Matrix
E: 0.58, S: 4.26


« Reply #12 on: September 11, 2022, 05:46:01 PM »

Aftonbladet has a neat election map, all the way down to precinct level.
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DavidB.
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*****
Posts: 13,627
Israel


Political Matrix
E: 0.58, S: 4.26


« Reply #13 on: September 12, 2022, 02:43:23 PM »

The impression I get is still kinda serving that very small base of those too progressive for any other Right party, to fiscally conservative for C or M.
Can we please please call this something like "economically liberal" in any European thread? Otherwise I'm afraid my head will explode.
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DavidB.
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*****
Posts: 13,627
Israel


Political Matrix
E: 0.58, S: 4.26


« Reply #14 on: September 12, 2022, 03:38:25 PM »

Some very specific questions to our Swedes:

1. Why is SD so strong in Dalarna compared to surrounding regions?
2. What's the deal with Gotland? Left-wing overperformance, SD weak, etc.
3. What would be a good explanation for SD's relative weakness in Västerbotten (also compared to Norrbotten)?
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