Mighty (or once mighty) political Parties That You Believe Will Die Soon

[DavidB.]

The Dutch CDA?

Yes.

[DavidB.]

They have a very elderly support base right? Because that's what to look for if we're looking for 'possible RIP' rather than 'LOL rollercoaster of a party' or even 'structural decline but still deffo relevant' or whatever.

One could argue that going from 41 seats and #1 to 21 seats and #4 and, two years later, to 13 seats and #5 does fit the "RIP" timeline, but you're right.

Still, if one keeps in mind just how powerful the party used to be not only in terms of electoral support but also as the pivotal party within the Dutch party system, and if one assumes most CDA voters are, indeed, pretty old and often won't be there in 15 years, and if one takes into account that "still deffo relevant" nowadays even applies to parties with 2% support, such as the Animal Party and the SGP, I do think it is appropriate to bring up the CDA in this thread.

[DavidB.]

They have a very elderly support base right? Because that's what to look for if we're looking for 'possible RIP' rather than 'LOL rollercoaster of a party' or even 'structural decline but still deffo relevant' or whatever.

One could argue that going from 41 seats and #1 to 21 seats and #4 and, two years later, to 13 seats and #5 does fit the "RIP" timeline, but you're right.

Even more so when you consider that in the post-War era, the three predecessor parties would combined for > half the vote sometimes.

They always had over half the vote before the war in all elections with universal suffrage, and in the post-War era in all elections until 1963 (except 1959). So yeah.

[DavidB.]

The Liberal Democratic Party of Moldova. It won 20.2% of the vote in 2014 but now is polling at...0.5%! Yikes.

Its only existed since 2007; hardly long enough to be a mighty party.  It seems to be one of those parties that are common in that part of the world: they form, quickly get into power (usually because they push the "we're not corrupt like the other parties!!!" thing; then when things don't change they collapse to nothing - other examples that come to mind are Res Publica and Pro Patria in Estonia; who both did the same thing and ended up merging together.  Moldova is politically rather odd though; when you could make a legitimate argument that the Communist Party are a centre-right party in a country you know that you are talking about a very odd nation.

In addition to that I wouldn't say any *party* in Moldova could be qualified as "mighty"; they are mere vehicles for oligarchs to enrich themselves. Of course this is the case in various Eastern European countries with weak party systems.