What share of the Jewish vote will Trump get? (user search)
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  What share of the Jewish vote will Trump get? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Trump's share of the Jewish vote will be closest to
#1
Romney 2012 (30%)
 
#2
McCain 2008 (22%)
 
#3
Bush II 2004 (24%)
 
#4
Bush II 2000 (19%)
 
#5
Dole 1996 (16%)
 
#6
Bush I 1992 (11%)
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 76

Author Topic: What share of the Jewish vote will Trump get?  (Read 2386 times)
DavidB.
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*****
Posts: 13,628
Israel


Political Matrix
E: 0.58, S: 4.26


« on: November 06, 2016, 01:26:32 PM »
« edited: November 06, 2016, 01:30:11 PM by DavidB. »

Many people posting here with no clue (the exceptions are also obvious). It doesn't make sense to see Jews as a homogeneous voting bloc. There are some quite different types of Jewish voters. It has been mentioned already, but 1990s Jewish FSU immigrants are often very strong Trump backers, especially people from non-Ashkenazi groups. And there are different types of non-immigrant, Ashkenazi voters too. That said, it is true that Trump is a very bad fit for most Jewish demographics.

I expect Trump to get something around McCain's 22%, probably slightly less.

I actually think that Cruz and Rubio would have done the best with the Jewish community.
No, Cruz would do terrible too (though not as bad as Trump). Even conservative Jews are generally not conservative in the same way as evangelicals are. Cruz represents a lot of things most Jews just can't relate to -- in certain ways much more so than Trump.
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DavidB.
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,628
Israel


Political Matrix
E: 0.58, S: 4.26


« Reply #1 on: November 15, 2016, 08:52:06 PM »

So this prediction of mine did not turn out to be completely, wholly, utterly, terribly wrong, but only a little bit wrong? Wow.
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DavidB.
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,628
Israel


Political Matrix
E: 0.58, S: 4.26


« Reply #2 on: November 16, 2016, 03:13:41 PM »

WTF? I'm so embarrassed about my people... Shameful. They wouldn't vote for FF Dole, but they'll vote for HP Trump? They have no reason to have economic anxiety - Hell, he campaigned on f[inks]ing anti-Semitic dogwhistles! Cry Cry
It's not as if we voted for Trump? Trump only got 24% compared to Romney's 30%. No group swung away from the GOP as much as Jews.
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