RI-01 Special Election Megathread

[Duke of York]

If Allan Fung carpetbags over from the Second District, this one might actually be competitive. Otherwise, Safe D.

Unlikely. This is a much bluer district. It includes Providence and every town but one voted Democrat in the last election.

[Duke of York]

Quite the upset here. Was not expecting Amo to win.,

[Duke of York]

Is Amo heavily favored in the general?

[Duke of York]

Is Amo heavily favored in the general?

Yeah. This primary was the actual election. It's also the type of seat that, barring scandal, is yours as long as it exists (I can't imagine it surviving the next census unfortunately) and you run for reelection.

People have been saying that for like 20-30 years. We’ll see (about RI switching to 1 CD at-large).


Amo will win comfortably, barring a big scandal or catastrophic debate performance.

What do we predict the final percentage will be?

The Republican is an old guy but his first election, Gerry Leonard. A former marine with a degree in economics, had a minor leadership role in NATO.

I don’t think any Independents or 3rd Party candidates ended up qualifying?

Leonard probably could have made this competitive if Regunberg or Matos had won. Rhode Island does seem to love military oriented campaigns and candidates (just look at how well Jack Reed's done since joining the Armed Services Committee). That said, I think Amo is moderate enough, and scandal-free enough, that this won't be competitive at all.

I'll say 60.5-39.5 Amo.

i think this is a reasonable prediction.