Pouring Rain and Blairing Music
Fubart Solman
Junior Chimp
Posts: 9,812
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« on: July 06, 2018, 12:04:16 AM » |
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Safe R without a right or center-right challenger (Kasich, Flake, Romney). I doubt Kasich would win, Flake (Mormon and from a neighboring state) could have a shot, and Romney would have a very good shot. McMullin's problem (aside from being a virtual nobody) is that he started too late and didn't have enough time to get on more ballots, which probably would've boosted his candidacy. McMullin's path was to win college educated Mormons, which he didn't do well enough at. Maybe someone could do it better? As others have said though, Trump is more accepted in Utah than he was in late 2016.
I don't think the Dem side matters. Unless there's a perfect split on the right and a very, very good Dem candidate for the state (Bullock?), the Dems can't win Utah.
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