Since that SC result I've always thought that the more these polls are publicized, the less likely a Jones win actually is. He's depending on low turnout among evangelicals, and a 'Devilcrat' win in good ol' Alabama being on the front page of the Washington Post is not going to help.
That is an interesting point. Ossoff's race was definitely nationalized. This race definitely has the nation's attention, but I'm not sure how nationalized it is. The issues that the race focuses on have been: "Is Moore too extreme?" and now, "Do we want to elect a pedophile?" Sure, it's a national race, so there's going to be some discussion of national issues, but since the Moore-Strange runoff, it seems to have been focused on Roy Moore's personality. GA-6 seemed much more issues based to me. I have no doubt that it would have been a snoozefest if Strange had won.
I didn't really follow the SC-5 race, but it definitely went under peoples' radars. There aren't any other elections happening now (why didn't Ivey call it for November 7th?), so that's going to attract some attention.
Jones should definitely how for low turnout among evangelicals. I feel like that's going to be the real indicator. Even if he can't persuade them to vote for him, if they can be persuaded to just stay at home or write someone else in, that's a vote taken from Moore.
Somehow a senate race in Alabama has become one of the more (Moore?) interesting elections this year.
