Pouring Rain and Blairing Music
Fubart Solman
Junior Chimp
Posts: 9,829
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« on: February 28, 2016, 01:42:38 AM » |
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I think the highest chances that I had for him winning the nomination were about 25%, which was after NH and before Nevada. Had he won Nevada and/or Iowa, I think he would have done a bit better.
A 50 point loss is laughably terrible. I think that he'll still win Vermont; Colorado and Minnesota will probably still go for him. Massachusetts will be close and Oklahoma may be a narrow Clinton win at this point. I expect that he'll win Maine on Sunday.
But, he's still screwed on the 15th. That will be the essential death of his chances. Yes, he might win a few states (I'm looking at Alaska and West Virginia, especially) if he keeps running, but he's essentially toast on the 15th.
Without any drastic change in the race, Hillary will be the nominee and likely the next President. I'd rather have her than any Republican.
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