Democratic Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET)

[Pouring Rain and Blairing Music]

Reddit has been pretty awful. It's also hilarious how a lot of them are portraying this as a win for Sanders. It's one of his strongest states demographically speaking. He was able to bring Clinton to what is essentially a tie when six months ago, he was still polling in the low teens (or something like that). Really, both sides needed to win Iowa convincingly (by more than a percent of the reported delegates) to get much momentum out of it.

New Hampshire should give Bernie a bit of momentum, especially if he can win by 10% or more, which has been looking possible. Nevada is still unclear; if he can woo Hispanics, he may have a chance. South Carolina will be a major test for his campaign. If he can't win NV or SC, I don't think that he has much of a chance at the nomination. As many others have said, Bernie needs to expand his coalition. Regardless of why, his current efforts have not been enough to persuade many minorities to vote for him.

Without reliable polling, it's going to be difficult to predict the results. I'm not sure how much the polls will change from Iowa. Bernie could definitely spin it more in his favor because he has been the underdog, but I'm not sure how much that will help. NH could give him something of a boost, but Clinton could easily spin it as inevitable that he would win a neighboring state. It's going to be an interesting month.