John Curtis is the quintessential Utah candidate -- well liked, smart, Republican, Business Administration, six kids -- so I expect him to breeze right by. He's what Utah elects all the time and he's paid the dues to do it.
Basically. I'm starting to think that Mike Lee was a cosmic fluke.
Agreed. Bob Bennett didn't take his reelection seriously, and 2010 was a "tea party" wave around the country. Bennett wasn't even voted out in a primary, but rather he didn't make it past the State Republican Convention. These state conventions tend to have party "purists" who are ultra-conservative, and this allowed Mike Lee to make it to the primary. If Lee had to face Bennett in an actual primary (like how Chris Herrod had to compete with Ainge and Curtis in a primary despite being the choice of the delegates), Bennett very well could have won reelection (I suppose this is impossible to know for sure, but he likely would have had a better chance in a primary instead of at a convention)