Maybe it's just wishful thinking, but with her name recognition, 21% is a pretty dismal spot to be at.
I don't know much about Wyoming politics, but I agree with this. At this point I think she's ahead due to name recognition, and due to the fact that it's a primary in the middle of the summer (lower turnout) and in the middle of a very interesting presidential campaign (not as many people paying attention to down-ballot races). I still expect Cheney to win due to her name recognition and her connections, but she should be doing much better