Hmm, the white vote will be close to a tie, but I think Hillary will very narrowly win it.
Hillary will win whites and the election by +12.
Uh...guys. If Hillary wins the white vote or comes close, the election is close to 60-40. Especially since if whites swing 20 points, Hispanics are certainly swinging her way as well.
My guess is that whites and blacks stay pretty much the same as 2012, with Hispanics swinging toward Hillary enough to make it 52-46.
This is consistent with the RCP average, so I tend to agree. Honestly, the GOP could do much worse than this given how tumultuous this campaign has been.
