Leans FF, but he still makes weird assumptions because of his weird numbers-only methodology, like Alaska becoming a swing state because the Democrats had a generally good year in 2012 yet still lost the state horribly. His analyses, while soulless and coming across as being done as an essay by a high schooler that doesn't actually care about the subject matter, are still worth paying attention to, even if he missed quite a few marks last year.
I agree with this completely. Leans FF for me, but sometimes his predictions don't take into account logic (like the logic of Alaska becoming a swing state).