My wild prediction -- Election Night, 2016: The Presidency. (user search)
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  My wild prediction -- Election Night, 2016: The Presidency. (search mode)
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Author Topic: My wild prediction -- Election Night, 2016: The Presidency.  (Read 6972 times)
WVdemocrat
DimpledChad
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Posts: 954
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« on: May 24, 2015, 04:47:54 PM »

Clinton will win 272-266; thats all she needs.

Well, all she needs is 270. But I guarantee you she won't be so stupid as to aim below Obama's 2012 bar. She's not only going to want to hold the 2012 map, but expand it. I know she's going for a "50 state strategy," but I can see her campaign seriously targeting North Carolina, Missouri, Arizona, Georgia, and Indiana beyond the Obama 2012 states.
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WVdemocrat
DimpledChad
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 954
United States


« Reply #1 on: May 24, 2015, 06:16:18 PM »

This "expanding the map/50 states strategy" could very well cost her the election. See: George W. Bush and California in 2000. Instead of focusing on the real battleground states, he was dumb enough to contest CA only to lose it by 12 points. Hillary Clinton will NOT win Georgia. There is almost no path to victory for her in that state. Same is true for Indiana. NC is possible. MO? Very, very unlikely. AZ? Would only flip in a Hillary LANDSLIDE of Obama 2008 proportions.

For all we know, her going with a 50 state strategy could just be to get Republicans to spend where they normally wouldn't. Or to help Democrats downballot. That said, I'm sure there's at least one or two states she'd want to flip. North Carolina would be feasible. Arizona or Missouri might too, if she invested a lot.
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